Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Bari
27.6%
Draw
57.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Bari
vs
1.55
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).