Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.4%
Krasnodar
18.5%
Draw
8.1%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Krasnodar
vs
0.66
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-0
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).