Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Sheffield United
31.2%
Draw
27.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Sheffield United
vs
0.94
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).