Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Carlisle
25.9%
Draw
51.6%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Carlisle
vs
1.43
Exeter
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).