Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Lens
19.3%
Draw
15.4%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Lens
vs
0.90
Lorient
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).