Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Ath Bilbao
24.4%
Draw
22.6%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.03
Elche
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).