Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Dortmund
22.2%
Draw
23.1%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Dortmund
vs
1.32
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).