Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Montrose
23.5%
Draw
20.6%
Kelty Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Montrose
vs
1.09
Kelty Hearts
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).