Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Boavista
20.8%
Draw
62.7%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Boavista
vs
2.17
Estoril
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).