Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Toulouse
23.5%
Draw
40.1%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Toulouse
vs
1.49
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).