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01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Blackburn
27.8%
Draw
16.0%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Blackburn

vs
0.68

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).