Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Parma
24.4%
Draw
61.5%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Parma
vs
1.58
Como
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-2
14.1%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).