Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Blackburn
27.2%
Draw
13.9%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Blackburn
vs
0.62
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
13.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).