Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.7%
Ajaccio
22.7%
Draw
60.6%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Ajaccio
vs
1.63
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).