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27 Jan 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
16.9%
Draw
11.9%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

Milton Keynes Dons

vs
0.81

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).