Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Empoli
28.3%
Draw
49.1%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Empoli
vs
1.30
Lazio
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).