Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Las Palmas
33.8%
Draw
20.0%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Las Palmas
vs
0.56
Eibar
Markets
BTTS27.5%
Over 0.579.7%
Over 1.547.0%
Over 2.521.4%
Over 3.57.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.0%
0-0
20.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).