Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Leganes
28.2%
Draw
30.4%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Leganes
vs
1.02
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).