Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Paris FC
23.2%
Draw
16.9%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Paris FC
vs
0.68
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).