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21 Sept 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Westerlo
29.2%
Draw
34.6%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Westerlo

vs
1.18

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).