Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Marseille
12.2%
Draw
7.6%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Marseille
vs
0.81
Clermont
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).