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DHT: 10

09 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Queens Park Rangers
27.5%
Draw
30.9%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.23

Preston

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).