Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Betis
24.2%
Draw
36.8%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Betis
vs
1.57
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).