Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Lens
16.2%
Draw
11.7%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Lens
vs
0.81
Nice
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).