Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.0%
Dortmund
10.5%
Draw
6.6%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
3.60
Dortmund
vs
1.07
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.594.9%
Over 2.584.4%
Over 3.568.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.0%
4-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
5-1
5.1%
5-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
1-1
3.9%
4-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).