Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Sutton
25.9%
Draw
30.1%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Sutton
vs
1.34
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).