Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Cremonese
19.7%
Draw
11.6%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Cremonese
vs
0.85
Avellino
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).