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09 Mar 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Concarneau
21.8%
Draw
51.0%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Concarneau

vs
1.75

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).