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14 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Luton
30.8%
Draw
31.8%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Luton

vs
1.08

West Brom

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).