Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Brackley Town
27.9%
Draw
23.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Brackley Town
vs
0.99
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).