Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Nott'm Forest
28.6%
Draw
34.9%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.27
Fulham
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).