Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Marseille
21.2%
Draw
34.5%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Marseille
vs
1.69
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS69.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).