Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Monaco
18.9%
Draw
19.5%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Monaco
vs
1.15
Nice
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-1
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).