Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Aris
31.1%
Draw
16.6%
Asteras Tripolis
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Aris
vs
0.62
Asteras Tripolis
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).