Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Burgos
36.5%
Draw
27.8%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Burgos
vs
0.68
Eibar
Markets
BTTS27.3%
Over 0.577.6%
Over 1.543.8%
Over 2.518.9%
Over 3.56.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.4%
1-0
18.4%
0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).