Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Carlisle
19.0%
Draw
61.9%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Carlisle
vs
2.07
Oxford
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-0
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).