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DHT: 10CSV

05 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.7%
Tranmere
22.5%
Draw
57.9%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Tranmere

vs
1.76

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).