Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Liverpool
19.6%
Draw
26.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Liverpool
vs
1.58
Accrington
Markets
BTTS70.8%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).