Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Watford
22.6%
Draw
11.2%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Watford
vs
0.65
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).