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20 Jan 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Zaragoza
29.0%
Draw
36.1%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Zaragoza

vs
1.10

Andorra

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).