Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Leeds
26.6%
Draw
38.4%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Leeds
vs
1.61
Brentford
Markets
BTTS64.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).