Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Colchester
28.7%
Draw
27.0%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Colchester
vs
0.86
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).