Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Elversberg
25.7%
Draw
30.6%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Elversberg
vs
1.40
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).