Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Crotone
29.1%
Draw
35.4%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Crotone
vs
1.28
Reggina
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).