Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.9%
Sassuolo
15.6%
Draw
7.4%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Sassuolo
vs
0.73
Bari
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).