Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Tenerife
33.5%
Draw
21.7%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Tenerife
vs
0.61
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS29.2%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.548.5%
Over 2.522.5%
Over 3.58.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.1%
0-0
19.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.9%
4-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).