Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Lille
23.0%
Draw
16.6%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Lille
vs
0.76
Nantes
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).