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AHT: 22CSV

03 Nov 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.7%
AVS
21.0%
Draw
64.3%
Famalicao

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

AVS

vs
1.85

Famalicao

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).