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02 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
Pogoń Szczecin
30.6%
Draw
22.4%
Wisła Płock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Pogoń Szczecin

vs
0.83

Wisła Płock

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).