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AHT: 02

04 Oct 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.6%
Draw
52.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Eintracht Frankfurt

vs
2.54

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS77.9%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.581.2%
Over 3.563.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-3
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
1-4
4.0%
2-4
3.7%
3-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).